A new Emerson College Polling/WHDH survey of New Hampshire voters finds 50 percent of voters support Vice President Kamala Harris and 46 percent support former president Donald Trump in the race for the White House. With third-party candidates on the ballot, Harris leads Trump 48 to 41 percent, while six percent support Robert Kennedy Jr., and one percent is with progressive Jill Stein.
Harris’ margin in the Emerson College poll is very similar to the six percent lead she had in the St. Anselm Survey Center and UNH Survey Center polls last week.
“Harris has improved upon Biden’s November 2023 polling performance against Trump by three points, 47 to 50 percent, and Trump’s support similarly increased by four, 42 to 46 percent, said Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling.
Asked to identify the top issues most important to Granite State voters, both affordable housing and the economy topped the list as the priority of 30 percent of voters. The only other issue in double digits was “threats to democracy.”
In the Republican race for governor, former U.S. Senator Kelly Ayotte leads former state Senate President Chuck Morse (R- Salem) 41 to 26 percent. While the margin is healthy, Ayotte is still well below 50 percent and 33 percent of potential primary voters remain undecided.
On the Democratic side, former Manchester Mayor Joyce Craig has the support of 33 percent of primary voters, while Executive Councilor Cinde Warmington has the support of 21 percent. In a sign of the lack of enthusiasm for the two candidates, a whopping 44 percent of Democratic primary voters remain undecided with just six weeks to go until primary Election Day.
“The Democratic primary is certainly more open, with 44 percent of voters undecided, compared to 33 percent of Republican primary voters,” Kimball told NHJournal. “Despite trailing across most demographics including all age groups under 70, Warmington has a base of support with voters aged 70 and older, leading 41 to 27 percent.”
On Tuesday, the Democratic Governors Association launched a TV ad campaign targeting Ayotte and ignoring Morse, a sign the organization believes she will be the eventual nominee. Meanwhile, the Republican Governors Association launched two websites on Tuesday, one targeting Craig and another targeting Warmington.
On the generic congressional ballot test, 48 percent said they would support the Democratic candidate for Congress, 43 percent plan to support the Republican candidate, and nine percent are undecided.
