A good way to measure the electoral strength of state senators is to compare how they do against the top of their ticket in their district.

By this measure, the top performing Republican state senators in contested races were state Sens. Bob Odell, Jeb Bradley, and Jeannie Forrester. They ran 14, 11, and 8 points ahead of Mitt Romney in their districts.

The best-performing Democrats were state Sens. Lou D’Allesandro, Andrew Hosmer, and Sylvia Larsen. They ran 9, 8, and 6 points ahead of President Obama.

Some state senators ran behind the top of their ticket. These include Republicans Jim Luther, who lost by four points in a district Mitt Romney carried by four points, Romney’s fourth-best district in the state; Sharon Carson of Londonderry, who represents Romney’s third-best state senate district in the state; and Dave Boutin and Andy Sanborn, who both ended up in recounts.

Democrats who ran behind President Obama were freshmen Senators-elect David Watters of Dover and David Pierce of Etna, who represents President Obama’s best district in the state. Their Republican opponents, Phyllis Woods and Joe Osgood, ran ahead of Mitt Romney by 5 and 4 points respectively but it wasn’t enough.

 

Romney lost state Sen. Bob Odell’s district by 3.6%, but Odell won his race by nearly 23 points.

The safest Republican state senate districts, measured by the percentage of the vote that went to Mitt Romney, are Chuck Morse’s (Salem), Jim Rausch’s (Derry), and Carson’s (Londonderry). Romney carried twelve state senate districts.

The best Democratic state senate districts, measured by the percentage of the vote that went to President Obama, are held by Pierce (Hanover/Lebanon), Martha Fuller-Clark (Portsmouth/Durham), and Molly Kelly (Keene).

Senate President Peter Bragdon was unopposed. In the Boutin and Carson districts, Libertarian candidates received significant votes impacting these statistics. In Manchester’s District 18, independent Arthur Beaudry received 14 percent of the vote.

NH State Sen 2012 Results